12 January 2007, 11:40 PM
Eva Wrote:I would put Zelda first in sales in December since combined, they sold more copies than Gears of War.
360 dominated? They had the entire year to dominate. You'll see they'll sink to last by the end of 2007.
I have no prediction other than the fight will be between Nintendo and Sony. I did feel Microsoft launched their console far too soon and it ended up being a slight improvement over the X-box opposed to the improvement that came from PS2 to PS3 and GC to Wii.
Sony sales are currently holding ok, but ok isn't cutting it for them while the Wii selling very well. This might be the time Nintendo take over once again, but we'll see what will happen.
Xbox 360 1.1 mm 4.5 mm
Wii 604.2 K 1.1 mm
PS3 490.7 K 687.3 K
Doing more in one month than both combined in the same month is domination. Doing the same number as Wii's two months in one month at a higher pricepoint is domination. This holiday season for Next-gen in the US was a given that 360 would dominate it even without the extra 10 months of this year that 360 had.
BTW don't forget that the 360 is the only place you can get Halo 3 (plus, the other two Halo games), GTA IV (exclusive downloadable content), Madden, and GOW (new IP, but it already sold better than Zelda Wii and GC versions combined in the USA for 2006 and more than Kingdom Hearts and FFXII in the USA for 2006)on the same console. All those games are big games for the US market. USA is Microsofts strongest base and I doubt they will sink to last in 2007. You'll be lucky if they sink to second in the US and that's due to Wii truly taking off. PS3 is going to run into the $599.99 price barrier.
Lynk, DS is amazing in all areas. Takes top spot overall worldwide. Wii takes top spot in Japan for 2006 next-gen consoles.
Europe in 2006 360 is still top spot, but that's a given since PS3 hasn't launched yet.
My predictions for 2007:
USA:
1st - 360 (will get a pricedrop in 2007 around the time when the 65nm console comes out and has the strongest set of titles for the US)
2nd - Wii (can take top spot if it truly takes off)
3rd - PS3 (price being the huge factor)
Europe:
1st - Wii (depends on if Wii truly takes off)
2nd - 360 (has a headstart and strong titles coming out in 2007)
3rd - PS3 (PS3 price might not take off and it launches in March so less time on the market)
Japan:
1st - Wii (goes hand in hand with DS domination)
2nd - PS3 (though its price will slow it down some time in the middle of 2007)
3rd - 360 (MS doesn't have a chance unless it gets FF series exclusive, not going to happen)
Worldwide:
1st - Wii (Its got a lot of hype coming into 2007 and its still unavailable at retail)
2nd - PS3 (Just because of the Japanese userbase)
3rd - 360 (because of lack of the Japanese userbase)
Overall Worldwide:
1st - DS
50th - Everyone else, since DS is a massive domination machine in all territories.
Now that I think about it, I think 2008 will be the deciding year. PS3 not being in all markets in all of 2007 is one part of the doubt, plus its the first initial year for Wii and PS3. 2008 will be the deciding year and mark my words on it.